{"id":758,"date":"2026-05-13T13:52:47","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T13:52:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/equitiesorbis.com\/%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%97%b6%e4%bb%a3%e5%bc%80%e5%90%af%ef%bc%9a%e5%ba%94%e5%af%b9%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%93%e7%b3%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%98%e9%9d%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T19:15:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T19:15:00","slug":"%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%97%b6%e4%bb%a3%e5%bc%80%e5%90%af%ef%bc%9a%e5%ba%94%e5%af%b9%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%93%e7%b3%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%98%e9%9d%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/equitiesorbis.com\/zh-hans\/%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%97%b6%e4%bb%a3%e5%bc%80%e5%90%af%ef%bc%9a%e5%ba%94%e5%af%b9%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%bd%93%e7%b3%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%98%e9%9d%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6c83\u4ec0\u65f6\u4ee3\u5f00\u542f\uff1a\u5e94\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u53d8\u9769"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\u9e3d\u6d3e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u201d\u65f6\u4ee3\u5df2\u6b63\u5f0f\u5ba3\u544a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002\u5728\u77ed\u77ed 24 \u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\uff0c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u620f\u5267\u6027\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u683c\u5c40\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u53c2\u8bae\u9662<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/12\/senate-confirms-kevin-warsh-as-fed-governor-clears-way-for-chair-vote.html\">\u786e\u8ba4\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u8fdb\u5165\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a<\/a>\uff0c\u4e3a\u5176\u5728 5 \u6708 15 \u65e5\u63a5\u66ff\u6770\u7f57\u59c6\u00b7\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u62c5\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u626b\u6e05\u4e86\u969c\u788d\u3002\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/inflation-april-cpi-stock-market-reaction-fed-rate-hikes-economy-2026-5\">\u5f02\u5e38\u5f3a\u52b2\u7684 4 \u6708 CPI \u62a5\u544a<\/a>\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da8 3.8%\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b 2023 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ea4\u6c47\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u4f53\u7cfb\u53d8\u9769\u3002\u6c83\u4ec0\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u8457\u540d\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u9e70\u6d3e\u4eba\u7269\uff0c\u4e3b\u5f20\u52a0\u901f\u91cf\u5316\u7d27\u7f29\u5e76\u7ef4\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4ed6\u73b0\u5728\u62e5\u6709\u4e86\u8bc1\u660e\u5176\u7d27\u7f29\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u5408\u7406\u6027\u6240\u9700\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u6570\u636e\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u53cd\u5e94\u8fc5\u901f\u4e14\u5267\u70c8\u3002\u6839\u636e\u829d\u5546\u6240\uff08CME\uff09\u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u5355\u4e00\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5185\uff0c\u5230 2026 \u5e74\u5e95\u201c\u52a0\u606f\u201d\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4ece 19% \u98d9\u5347\u81f3 31%\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14 500 \u6307\u6570\u548c\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u6307\u6570\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u70b9\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u800c 10 \u5e74\u671f\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u81f3 4.45%\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u5347\u7684\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u65e0\u7591\u662f\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5371\u673a\u3002\u968f\u7740\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u88ab\u5c01\u9501\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u540c\u6bd4\u98d9\u5347 17.9%\uff0c\u5e76\u6e17\u900f\u5230\u6838\u5fc3 CPI \u4e2d\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u52a0\u901f\u81f3 2.8%\u3002\u5728\u7531\u9e70\u6d3e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u201c\u957f\u671f\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u201d\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u5fc5\u987b\u5f7b\u5e95\u91cd\u5199\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u91d1\u878d\u677f\u5757\u7684\u590d\u5174<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f53\u8d44\u672c\u6210\u672c\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u65f6\uff0c\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5141\u8bb8\u91d1\u878d\u673a\u6784\u6269\u5927\u51c0\u606f\u5dee\uff08NIM\uff09\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5b58\u6b3e\u652f\u4ed8\u5229\u606f\u4e0e\u8d37\u6b3e\u8d5a\u53d6\u5229\u606f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u989d\u3002\u5728\u6c83\u4ec0\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u7a33\u5065\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u548c\u591a\u5143\u5316\u6536\u5165\u6765\u6e90\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u5177\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u5f02\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\uff08JPMorgan Chase\uff09\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u8131\u9896\u800c\u51fa\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u9876\u5c16\u7684\u63a0\u98df\u8005\u3002\u8be5\u884c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u4ea7\u751f\u5de8\u989d\u81ea\u7531\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\uff0c\u5176\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u4e1a\u52a1\u6b63\u5229\u7528\u4f01\u4e1a\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u83b7\u5229\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u6770\u7c73\u00b7\u6234\u8499\uff08Jamie Dimon\uff09\u4e00\u76f4\u8b66\u544a\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u7c98\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u8be5\u884c\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u5904\u4e8e\u4fdd\u5b88\u5b9a\u4f4d\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6234\u8499\u9000\u5c45\u5e55\u540e\u4ee5\u53ca\u8be5\u884c\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u9ad8\u6548\u7387\u800c\u91cd\u7ec4\u6295\u8d44\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u5728\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4f01\u7684\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u5982\u540c\u4e00\u679a\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\u7684\u5f39\u7c27\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a (JPM) \u6295\u8d44\u8bba\u70b9 \u2014\u2014 \u4e70\u5165<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u662f\u6c83\u4ec0\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u6e2f\u3002\u8be5\u80a1\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u80a1\u606f\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u3001\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u56de\u8d2d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u6781\u4f73\u7ec4\u5408\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u66f2\u7ebf\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u4e14\u957f\u671f\u5229\u7387\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u6469\u6839\u5927\u901a\u7684\u51c0\u5229\u606f\u6536\u5165\u5c06\u63d0\u4f9b\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u52a9\u529b\u3002\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4f30\u503c\u538b\u7f29\u611f\u5230\u6050\u614c\u4e4b\u9645\uff0cJPM \u662f\u5fc5\u987b\u914d\u7f6e\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u7684\u96be\u9898<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u79d1\u6280\u677f\u5757\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u63a8\u52a8 2026 \u5e74\u725b\u5e02\u7684\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u7fa4\u4f53\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u66f4\u4e3a\u590d\u6742\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u9ad8\u500d\u6570\u6210\u957f\u80a1\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6781\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u4f1a\u4ee5\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5229\u7387\u8fdb\u884c\u6298\u73b0\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u5145\u5206\u4f53\u73b0\uff0c\u8d39\u57ce\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u6307\u6570\uff08SOXX\uff09\u76d8\u4e2d\u66b4\u8dcc 3.2%\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u82f1\u7279\u5c14\uff08Intel\uff09\u662f<a href=\"https:\/\/247wallst.com\/investing\/2026\/05\/12\/chip-stocks-are-bleeding-today-the-2018-and-2022-selloffs-tell-you-exactly-what-comes-next\/\">\u82af\u7247\u80a1\u629b\u552e\u6f6e\u4e2d\u6700\u5927\u7684\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005<\/a>\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u8fbe 6.8%\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u6b64\u524d\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u5bf9\u5176\u4ee3\u5de5\u4e1a\u52a1\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56de\u6d41\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u6781\u5ea6\u4e50\u89c2\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5e74\u4e2d\u98d9\u5347\u4e86 500% \u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5efa\u9020\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u5236\u9020\u5382\u9700\u8981\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u6295\u5165\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u901f\u91cf\u5316\u7d27\u7f29\u4e14\u8d44\u672c\u6210\u672c\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u7279\u5c14\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u8d1f\u62c5\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u9690\u60a3\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u82f1\u7279\u5c14 (INTC) \u6295\u8d44\u8bba\u70b9 \u2014\u2014 \u5356\u51fa<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u82f1\u7279\u5c14\u7684\u201c\u5bb9\u6613\u94b1\u201d\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d5a\u5b8c\u4e86\u3002\u8be5\u80a1\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u7ecf\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u5176\u4ee3\u5de5\u4e1a\u52a1\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u5b8c\u7f8e\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u4f46\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u521a\u521a\u5bf9\u8d44\u672c\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u5de8\u578b\u9879\u76ee\u8f6c\u4e3a\u654c\u5bf9\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6c83\u4ec0\u638c\u8235\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e14\u5229\u7387\u8d8b\u4e8e\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u82f1\u7279\u5c14\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u5df2\u8fdc\u8d85\u5176\u8fd1\u671f\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u9501\u5b9a\u5229\u6da6\u5e76\u5728\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f30\u503c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u538b\u7f29\u4e4b\u524d\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u4ed3\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u4f8b\u5916<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5e76\u975e\u6240\u6709\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u5728\u9e70\u6d3e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0b\u90fd\u4f1a\u906d\u53d7\u540c\u6837\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u4e3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u63d0\u4f9b\u57fa\u7840\u67b6\u6784\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u7ecf\u5386\u7740\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u5b8c\u5168\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5f39\u6027\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u4eca\u5929\u53d1\u5e03\u8d22\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u8d22\u62a5\u7684\u601d\u79d1\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08Cisco Systems\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u601d\u79d1\u6b63\u8fc5\u901f\u4ece\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u786c\u4ef6\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u8f6c\u578b\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u7684 AI \u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e0a\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684 AI \u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u8ba2\u5355\u8fbe\u5230 21 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76<a href=\"https:\/\/www.heygotrade.com\/en\/blog\/cisco-csco-q3-fy26-earnings-preview-ai-networking-splunk\/\">\u5c06\u5176\u5168\u5e74 AI \u8ba2\u5355\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f3 50 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a<\/a>\u3002\u968f\u7740\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ade\u76f8\u5efa\u8bbe\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u601d\u79d1\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\u8bbe\u5907\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u3002  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u601d\u79d1\u7cfb\u7edf (CSCO) \u6295\u8d44\u8bba\u70b9 \u2014\u2014 \u4e70\u5165<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u601d\u79d1\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86 AI 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